Recovery Spring, Faltering Fall: March to November 1933

Jason E. Taylor, Todd C. Neumann

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Scopus citations


Recovery from the Great Depression began in March 1933, simultaneous to Franklin Roosevelt's inauguration. However, the pace of that recovery between that date and the Second World War was extremely uneven with some dramatic starts and stops. Between March and July 1933, manufacturing production rose 78%, production of durable goods was up 199%, total industrial production rose 57%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 71%. Then the economy contracted sharply again beginning in August 1933–the July 1933 level of industrial production was not reached again until August 1935. This paper addresses two questions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)54-67
Number of pages14
JournalExplorations in Economic History
StatePublished - Jul 1 2016


  • Depression
  • Devaluation
  • Expectations
  • Inflation
  • Recovery


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